Author: Toyon
The “un” nature of United Nation, non
enforcement of its international criminal court, complex policy diplomacy, restricted
negotiation, and finally the colonial power to control the world are making the
earth a non living place. Policy analyst Phyllis Bennis said in an interview of
“Yes Magazine” that no country, not even the most powerful, has the right to
act as unilateral cop. He also added that "Russia must stop and must push
Iran to stop arming and funding the Syrian regime. And The U.S. must stop and
must push Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, Jordan and others to stop arming and
funding the opposition, including the extremist elements." Bridging peace depends
on the countries. Whether they want to have a war or not! Though it results in
the death of kids or harm to the environment but still if the enemy chooses to
attack they attack! “World peace” is the biggest shaming world for living human
of this earth!
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| Image Source: Googleimage |
“The other day I came back home early from work. My
wife was 8 months pregnant. I told her to sleep early too. Our family was so
happy for the upcoming baby. Everyone was having plan for the new member of the
family. A new born baby was about to come and see the world. The world was
supposed to give her immense gift with hope. I had a dream to take my baby
within my arm; to show the sun, to show the moon. I had a dream to see how she
would look like; I had a dream to hear how she would call papa for the first
time. All most every day at the time of sleeping I put my ear up to my wife’s
belly and tried to hear her moving and her heartbeat. Suddenly, missile came
and explosion took everything. I lost my hope, my dream, my home, my wife, my
unborn baby, my family. My everything has been exploded. My baby died before she came to this earth.
The war is taking everything.”
(-- Anonymous War Victim)
It is not very hard to realize how painful it is to
lose family and everything. Millions of people are having stories like this.
From socioeconomic perspective the cost of war is unbearable. There are thousands of
research papers showing the cost of war in terms of social view point as well
as economics perspective based on war for oil in Afghanistan war, Iraq war, Libya,
Syria and so on. As the numbers of dead is increasing; refugees as well as internally
displaced people are also uprising, and as families are being torn apart and
neighborhoods are turning into war zones, ultimately, it is leading to huge
social cost, economies slumped and regional economic ties to break down and
fall of countries.
The beginning and the secret of Seven Sisters:
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| Image Source: Aljazeera |
The war for oil has been begun decade ago with the
emergence of Seven Sisters secret pact to control the world's oil. From
1927 to even recent, the Seven Sisters have sought to control the balance of
power in oil economy at any means. The secret alliance of Seven Sisters has
supported monarchies in Iran and Saudi Arabia, opposed the creation of OPEC,
creation of secret commission of oil task force of U.S, profiting from the
Iran-Iraq war, leading to the ultimate destruction of Saddam Hussein and Iraq. From
the report of Aljazeera(April 4, 2013) it was claimed that at the end of the
1960s, the Seven Sisters, the major oil companies, controlled 85 percent of the
world's oil reserves. The new sisters have been emerged and new hunting grounds
are therefore required, and the Sisters have turned their gaze towards Africa.
With peak oil, wars in the Middle East, and the rise in crude prices, Africa is
the oil companies' new battleground. In the Caucasus, the US and Russia are
striving to control the region. The great oil game is in full swing. Whoever
controls the Caucasus and its roads, controls the transport of oil from the
Caspian Sea. Tbilisi, Erevan and Baku - the three capitals of the Caucasus. The
oil from Baku in Azerbaijan is a strategic priority for all the major companies.
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| Image Source: Googleimage |
Economic Effect of War:
The economic effect of war depends on the
combination of before math and after math of the war period. In World Bank
working paper (WPS7135, 2014) this issue has been addressed. The report
showed both the direct and indirect economic effects of this war on the area --Turkey,
Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq, and Egypt. They summarized that the direct
effect comes from the decline in the size and skills of Syria’s labor force due
to loss of life and refugee outflows, infrastructure destruction, the trade
embargo on Syria, cost of doing business increases, and a decline in
productivity whereas the indirect effect captures the opportunity cost of foregone
trade integration initiatives aimed at improving trade logistics and
liberalizing trade in services in the region. Table 1
shows the welfare effect of war and trade disintegration calculated based on
the global computable
general-equilibrium framework.
Table 1: Welfare effects of war and
Trade disintegration
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| Source of date: World Bank working paper (WPS7135, 2014) |
Source of finance for War:
The common ways of financing war can be arranged
through increasing taxation, reducing non-military spending to pay for military
outlays, Government borrowing from the public through War bonds or issuance of
Treasury securities (debt), Money creation etc. According to the report
published by The Institute of Economics and Peace(2015) argued that The U.S.
has paid for its wars either through debt (World War II, Cold War, Afghanistan/Iraq),
taxation (Korean War) or inflation (Vietnam). In each case, taxpayers have been
burdened, and private sector consumption and investment have been constrained
as a result. They also added that the other negative effects include larger
budget deficits, higher taxes, and growth above trend leading to inflation
pressure and have effects into the future and regardless of the way a war is
financed, the overall macroeconomic effect on the economy tends to be negative.
The figure 1 shows inflationary pressure faced by U.S. government because of
war.
Figure 1: Wars Boost Inflationary Pressure in U.S.
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| Source of data: IEP Report 2015 |
Spending in War and Balance of The Gun & Butter
Curve :
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| Image Source: Googleimage |
Some researchers claim that war can be beneficial if
rate of return from the war project is higher than the cost of war project. In
real scenario it demands to integrate the politics, international policy and so
on. It is argued that War leads to higher government spending; higher
employment and can therefore provide a boost to domestic demand, economic
growth and help reduce unemployment (Economics blog, 2010). The scenario can be presented through the
“gun & butter” model. Generally, the "guns or butter" model is
used by researchers to describe how national spending should be done as part of
gross domestic production (GDP). In this model a nation has two options which
are: either to buy guns i.e. to invest in military or to buy butter i.e. to
invest in production of goods, or a combination of both. However, no matter how
the balance has been achieved the humanitarian cost should not be ignored.
Alternative to war:
Is there any alternative to war? Will explosion or military
strikes help ordinary people? Will more violence deter the use of chemical
weapons, or worsen the problem? Have all other possibilities been exhausted, or
are there peaceful solutions that haven't been tried? These questions remain
unanswered because of several reasons.
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| Image Source: Googleimage |
To conclude:
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| Image Source: Googleimage |
“I dream of a world of peace,
Where people can live a
life of ease.
World where there is no
difference between rich and poor,
Life being pleasant for
living ever more.
I dream of a world of
happiness,
Where there is no sight
of selfishness.
Where each and everyone
can get their needs,
And have belief in
their deeds.
I dream of a world of
kindness,
Where people can know
that value of love is priceless.
Where people could
realise that of earth we are all children,
And to have a kind
heart is better for all men.
I dream of a world of
loving mates,
Where people can
realise all are great.
Where people can know
that in this earth,
With a kind heart
people must give birth.
I dream of a world of
peace,
Where people can live a
life of ease!”
-- (I Dream of a World of
Peace, Riken Shrestha, Nepal)
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